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Research has shown that randomness plays a significant role in determining the outcome of basketball games. A study by sports analytics firm, FiveThirtyEight, found that random chance accounts for approximately 20-30% of the variance in NBA game outcomes (FiveThirtyEight, 2019). This means that even when two teams with similar skill levels face each other, random events can still significantly impact the game's outcome. basketball random g

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One key area where randomness has a substantial impact is in shooting. Even the best shooters in the league experience variance in their shooting percentages, with some games resulting in significantly more made shots than others. For example, a study by NBA analyst, Dean Oliver, found that the standard deviation of a team's three-point shooting percentage is around 5-6% (Oliver, 2014). This means that even if a team has a high three-point shooting percentage, they can still experience significant variance in their shooting from game to game. a study by NBA analyst